Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Some Important Results

                                        _       
# We have P(A) = 1 -  P(A),
    therefore, P(A)  1.           _
                                 {Since P(A) ≥ 0,}    
                                    _
# P(Φ) = 0, since Φ = (S) and 
                  _
   P(Φ) = P(S) = 1- P(S) = 1-1 =

# If in an experiment with n equally likely (and exhaustive) outcomes, m outcomes are favourable to an event A,      then probability of an event A is defined simply as 
                  P(A) = The number of possible outcomes of count as A 
                                   The total number of possible outcomes    
# For every event A in S, P(A) 0.

#  For every event A in S, P(A) 1.

# Probability of an impossible event is always zero i.e.,
    P(Φ) = 0
# For the sure event or certain event, P(S) = 1. 

ILLUSTRATIONS
Experiment 1:  A single card is chosen at random from a standard deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of choosing a card that is not a king?  [IMAGE]
Probability:  
P(not king) = 1 - P(king)
 
 = 1 -  4 
52
 
 = 48
52
 
 = 12
13

Experiment 2:  A single 6-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a number that is not 4?  dice


Probability:  
P(not 4) = 1 - P(4)
 
 = 1 - 1
6
 
 = 5
6

Experiment 3:  A single card is chosen at random from a standard deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability of choosing a card that is not a club?  [IMAGE]
Probability:  
P(not club) = 1 - P(club)
 
 = 1 - 13
52
 
 = 39
52
 
 = 3
4

Experiment 4:  A glass jar contains 20 red marbles. If a marble is chosen at random from the jar, what is the probability that it is not red?  [IMAGE]
Probability:  
P(not red) = 1 - P(red)
 
 = 1 - 1
 
 = 0
 
Note: This is an impossible event.
Experiment 6:  A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green and red. What is the probability of landing on a sector that is not red after spinning this spinner?  spinner
Sample Space:  {yellow, blue, green, red}
Probability:  
P(not red) = 1 - P(red)
 
 = 1 - 1
4
 
 = 3
4

Summary:  The probability of an event is the measure of the chance that the event will occur as a result of the experiment. The probability of an event A, symbolized by P(A), is a number between 0 and 1, inclusive, that measures the likelihood of an event in the following way:
  • If P(A) > P(B) then event A is more likely to occur than event B.
  • If P(A) = P(B) then events A and B are equally likely to occur.
  • If event A is impossible, then P(A) = 0.
  • If event A is certain, then P(A) = 1.
  • The complement of event A is .   
  •  P() = 1 - P(A)


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